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The latest from Google Research
The Next Chapter for Flu Trends
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Posted by The Flu Trends Team
When a small team of software engineers first started working on Flu Trends in 2008, we wanted to explore how real-world phenomena could be modeled using patterns in search queries. Since its
launch
, Google Flu Trends has provided
useful insights
and served as one of the early examples for “nowcasting” based on
search trends
, which is increasingly used in health,
economics
, and
other fields
. Over time, we’ve used search signals to create prediction models,
updating
and improving those models over time as we compared our prediction to real-world cases of flu.
Instead of maintaining our own website going forward, we’re now going to empower institutions who specialize in infectious disease research to use the data to build their own models. Starting this season, we’ll provide Flu and Dengue signal data directly to partners including
Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health
(to update their
dashboard
),
Boston Children’s Hospital/Harvard
, and
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Influenza Division.
We will also continue to make historical Flu and Dengue estimate data available for anyone to see and analyze.
Flu continues to
affect millions of people every year
, and while it’s still early days for nowcasting and similar tools for understanding the spread of diseases like flu and dengue fever—we’re excited to see what comes next. To download the historical data or learn more about becoming a research partner, please visit the
Flu Trends web page
.
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